1461 Trabzon FK vs Yeni Malatyaspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.69 expected goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 0.38 for Yeni Malatyaspor, a combined total of 4.06. That distribution gives 1461 Trabzon FK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 93%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 93% favourite still loses or draws roughly 7% of the time.

Model pick

1461 Trabzon FK to Win

93.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.69 – 0.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

1461 Trabzon FK win93%

Draw5%

Yeni Malatyaspor win1%

Double chance 1X

99%

Double chance 12

95%

Double chance X2

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score30%

Correct score

3–014.4%
4–013.2%
2–011.7%
5–09.8%
1–06.3%

Why the model likes this

1461 Trabzon FK home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 1461 Trabzon FK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 93%, against 93% / 5% / 1% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.69 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 0.38 for Yeni Malatyaspor, a combined 4.06 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 30%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

1461 Trabzon FK

2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 4-5 (L)
2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kırklarelispor · 2-1 (W)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 1-3 (L)
2026-04-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 3-0 (W)
2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor · 0-1 (L)

Yeni Malatyaspor

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	36	25	8	3	53	83
2	Muğlaspor	36	21	9	6	32	72
3	Elazığspor	36	21	6	9	45	69
4	Adana 01 FK	36	19	10	7	20	67
5	Şanlıurfaspor	36	19	8	9	20	65
6	Ankaragücü	36	18	9	9	11	63
7	İnegölspor	36	16	12	8	23	60
8	İskenderunspor	36	16	8	12	6	56
9	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	36	13	15	8	10	54
10	Ankaraspor	36	13	13	10	10	52
11	24 Erzincanspor	36	15	6	15	6	51
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	-12	42
13	Karacabey Belediyespor	36	11	8	17	-9	41
14	Altınordu	36	8	11	17	-26	35
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	-21	34
16	Beykoz Anadolu	36	8	6	22	-29	30
17	Kepezspor	36	5	8	23	-45	23
18	Karaman FK	36	4	9	23	-56	21
19	Bucaspor 1928	36	4	8	24	-38	17
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	68	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	42	71
3	Muş Sport Klübü	34	21	7	6	47	70
4	Aliağa FAŞ	34	21	6	7	49	69
5	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	34	21	4	9	49	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	34	63
7	Güzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	25	58
8	Menemen FK	34	15	6	13	6	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	0	49
10	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	34	11	14	9	14	47
11	1461 Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	3	47
12	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	34	13	7	14	4	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	11	44
14	Kırklarelispor	34	9	9	16	-5	36
15	Somaspor	34	8	6	20	-27	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	-75	12
17	Adanaspor	34	3	1	30	-142	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	33	0	2	31	-103	-52

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.