ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.80 for Fortuna Sittard, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Fortuna Sittard the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Fortuna Sittard to Win

45.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

ADO Den Haag win32%

Draw23%

Fortuna Sittard win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–110.0%
1–29.0%
2–17.5%
2–26.7%
0–16.7%

Why the model likes this

Fortuna Sittard away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortuna Sittard to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 32% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.80 for Fortuna Sittard, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

ADO Den Haag

Fortuna Sittard

2026-08-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambuur · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV Eindhoven · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Apoel Nicosia · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Metz · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.