Ajka Sportcentrum · Analysis updated 02:53 UTC
Ajka vs Kecskeméti TE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Ajka and 1.05 for Kecskeméti TE, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Ajka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Ajka to Win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–17.7%
Why the model likes this
Ajka home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kecskeméti TE away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ajka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 25% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for Ajka and 1.05 for Kecskeméti TE, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Ajka
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Karcag SE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kecskeméti TE · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Csakvar · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 0-2 (L)
Kecskeméti TE
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Fehérvár FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs BVSC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Gyirmot SE | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Kecskeméti TE | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Fehérvár FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Tiszakecske FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Szentlőrinc SE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Karcag SE | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Csakvar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Szeged 2011 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | BVSC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Kozarmisleny FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.