England · National League · Regular Season - 611:30

11:30 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground · Analysis updated 01:54 UTC

Aldershot Town vs FC Halifax Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Aldershot Town and 1.12 for FC Halifax Town, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Aldershot Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Aldershot Town to Win

52.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Aldershot Town win52%
Draw24%
FC Halifax Town win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 0–16.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Aldershot Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.12 for FC Halifax Town, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

  • Model confidence

    Aldershot Town to Win is the headline pick at 52% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Aldershot Town

    FC Halifax Town

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      National League table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Harrogate Town220056
      2AFC Hornchurch220046
      3Sutton Utd220046
      4Southend220036
      5Hartlepool220036
      6Forest Green220026
      7Boreham Wood211024
      8AFC Fylde211014
      9Gateshead210113
      10Boston United210113
      11Worthing210103
      12Eastleigh210103
      13Aldershot Town210103
      14Kidderminster Harriers2101-23
      15Yeovil Town202002
      16Tamworth2011-11
      17Carlisle2011-11
      18Scunthorpe2011-11
      19Wealdstone2011-21
      20FC Halifax Town2002-30
      21Altrincham2002-30
      22Barrow2002-30
      23Solihull Moors2002-50
      24Woking2002-50

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.