Anderlecht vs PAOK Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Anderlecht and 1.60 for PAOK, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Anderlecht the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Anderlecht to Win

45.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Anderlecht win46%

Draw22%

PAOK win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

1–19.1%
2–18.7%
1–27.3%
2–27.0%
1–05.7%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Anderlecht to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 22% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Anderlecht and 1.60 for PAOK, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Anderlecht to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Anderlecht

PAOK

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.