Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.59 expected goals for Angust Nazran and 1.10 for Spartak Nalchik, a combined total of 1.69. That distribution gives Spartak Nalchik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Spartak Nalchik to Win

47.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.59 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Angust Nazran win20%

Draw33%

Spartak Nalchik win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals50%

Over 2.5 goals24%

Over 3.5 goals9%

Both teams to score30%

Correct score

0–120.4%
0–018.5%
1–112.0%
0–211.2%
1–010.9%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Spartak Nalchik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 20% / 33% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.59 goals for Angust Nazran and 1.10 for Spartak Nalchik, a combined 1.69 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% and both teams to score at 30%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%.
Model confidence
Spartak Nalchik to Win is the headline pick at 48% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Angust Nazran

Spartak Nalchik

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shahter Taganrog	19	13	3	3	19	42
2	Sevastopol	19	13	3	3	18	42
3	Rostov II	18	12	3	3	23	39
4	Kyzyltash	19	9	3	7	8	30
5	Nart Cherkessk	18	8	4	6	9	28
6	Rubin Yalta	19	7	7	5	4	28
7	Spartak Nalchik	17	7	6	4	9	27
8	Pobeda	17	8	3	6	11	27
9	Druzhba	18	7	5	6	4	26
10	Astrakhan	18	6	3	9	-3	21
11	Lugansk	18	5	4	9	-9	19
12	Izberbash	19	6	0	13	-34	18
13	PSK Dinskaya	11	5	2	4	-1	17
14	Angust Nazran	18	4	4	10	-10	16
15	Dynamo Makhachkala II	19	3	4	12	-16	13
16	FK Chayka 2	19	2	2	15	-32	8

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.