Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Arnavutköy Belediyespor and 0.53 for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Arnavutköy Belediyespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws roughly 20% of the time.

Model pick

Arnavutköy Belediyespor to Win

80.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.51 – 0.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win81%

Draw14%

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

20%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score38%

Correct score

2–015.0%
3–012.6%
1–012.0%
2–18.0%
4–07.9%

Why the model likes this

Arnavutköy Belediyespor home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arnavutköy Belediyespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 81% / 14% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.51 goals for Arnavutköy Belediyespor and 0.53 for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 38%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 2-0 (W)
2026-04-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 1-0 (W)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Muş Sport Klübü · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu · 3-0 (W)
2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1461 Trabzon FK · 1-0 (W)

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	36	25	8	3	53	83
2	Muğlaspor	36	21	9	6	32	72
3	Elazığspor	36	21	6	9	45	69
4	Adana 01 FK	36	19	10	7	20	67
5	Şanlıurfaspor	36	19	8	9	20	65
6	Ankaragücü	36	18	9	9	11	63
7	İnegölspor	36	16	12	8	23	60
8	İskenderunspor	36	16	8	12	6	56
9	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	36	13	15	8	10	54
10	Ankaraspor	36	13	13	10	10	52
11	24 Erzincanspor	36	15	6	15	6	51
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	-12	42
13	Karacabey Belediyespor	36	11	8	17	-9	41
14	Altınordu	36	8	11	17	-26	35
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	-21	34
16	Beykoz Anadolu	36	8	6	22	-29	30
17	Kepezspor	36	5	8	23	-45	23
18	Karaman FK	36	4	9	23	-56	21
19	Bucaspor 1928	36	4	8	24	-38	17
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	68	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	42	71
3	Muş Sport Klübü	34	21	7	6	47	70
4	Aliağa FAŞ	34	21	6	7	49	69
5	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	34	21	4	9	49	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	34	63
7	Güzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	25	58
8	Menemen FK	34	15	6	13	6	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	0	49
10	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	34	11	14	9	14	47
11	1461 Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	3	47
12	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	34	13	7	14	4	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	11	44
14	Kırklarelispor	34	9	9	16	-5	36
15	Somaspor	34	8	6	20	-27	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	-75	12
17	Adanaspor	34	3	1	30	-142	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	33	0	2	31	-103	-52

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.