AS Roma vs Torino Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.24 expected goals for AS Roma and 0.76 for Torino, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives AS Roma the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 29% of the time.

Model pick

AS Roma to Win

71.0% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.24 – 0.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

AS Roma win71%

Draw18%

Torino win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

2–012.5%
1–011.1%
2–19.5%
3–09.3%
1–18.5%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates AS Roma to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 18% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.24 goals for AS Roma and 0.76 for Torino, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 48%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
AS Roma to Win is the headline pick at 71% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

AS Roma

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brighton · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Newport County · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cardiff · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Cannes · 3-3 (D)

Torino

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	27	6	5	54	87
2	Napoli	38	23	7	8	22	76
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	28	73
4	Como	38	20	11	7	36	71
5	AC Milan	38	20	10	8	18	70
6	Juventus	38	19	12	7	27	69
7	Atalanta	38	15	14	9	15	59
8	Bologna	38	16	8	14	3	56
9	Lazio	38	14	12	12	1	54
10	Udinese	38	14	8	16	-3	50
11	Sassuolo	38	14	7	17	-4	49
12	Torino	38	12	9	17	-19	45
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	-18	45
14	Cagliari	38	11	10	17	-13	43
15	Fiorentina	38	9	15	14	-9	42
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	-10	41
17	Lecce	38	10	8	20	-22	38
18	Cremonese	38	8	10	20	-25	34
19	Hellas Verona	38	3	12	23	-36	21
20	Pisa	38	2	12	24	-45	18

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.