Austin vs FC Dallas Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Austin and 1.56 for FC Dallas, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives FC Dallas the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

FC Dallas or Draw

65.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Austin win34%

Draw24%

FC Dallas win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–28.9%
0–18.2%
2–17.9%
1–07.3%

Why the model likes this

Austin home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Dallas away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Dallas to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 34% / 24% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Austin and 1.56 for FC Dallas, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

Market	Selection	Odds	Bookmaker
Match Result	Home	2.76	10Bet
Match Result	Draw	3.70	10Bet
Match Result	Away	2.28	10Bet
Goals	Over 1.5	1.20	10Bet
Goals	Under 1.5	4.33	10Bet
Goals	Over 2.5	1.65	10Bet
Goals	Under 2.5	2.20	10Bet
Goals	Over 3.5	2.70	10Bet
Goals	Under 3.5	1.45	10Bet
Goals	Over 0.5	1.03	10Bet
Goals	Under 0.5	11.00	10Bet
Goals	Over 4.5	4.75	10Bet
Goals	Under 4.5	1.18	10Bet
BTTS	Yes	1.55	10Bet
BTTS	No	2.30	10Bet
Double Chance	Home/Draw	1.60	10Bet
Double Chance	Home/Away	1.22	10Bet
Double Chance	Draw/Away	1.42	10Bet

Recent form

Austin

2026-08-14T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Club America · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-10T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Puebla · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-07T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Tijuana · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-02T01:30:00.000Z · A vs Colorado Rapids · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Houston Dynamo · 0-3 (L)

FC Dallas

2026-08-13T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Toluca · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-09T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Guadalajara Chivas · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-06T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Club Queretaro · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-02T02:30:00.000Z · A vs Los Angeles Galaxy · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-26T01:30:00.000Z · A vs San Diego · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Major League Soccer table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	17	10	4	3	21	34
2	Los Angeles FC	19	10	4	5	16	34
3	San Jose Earthquakes	18	10	3	5	13	33
4	Houston Dynamo	18	10	2	6	3	32
5	Real Salt Lake	17	8	3	6	4	27
6	FC Dallas	18	7	6	5	7	27
7	St. Louis City	18	7	5	6	0	26
8	Portland Timbers	18	7	3	8	0	24
9	Seattle Sounders	17	7	3	7	-2	24
10	Minnesota United FC	18	6	6	6	-5	24
11	Colorado Rapids	18	7	1	10	2	22
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	5	7	7	-5	22
13	San Diego	18	5	6	7	3	21
14	Austin	18	4	5	9	-14	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	18	4	2	12	-28	14
1	Nashville SC	18	12	4	2	21	40
2	Inter Miami	18	11	5	2	13	38
3	New England Revolution	18	9	3	6	5	30
4	Chicago Fire	17	9	2	6	9	29
5	New York City FC	18	7	5	6	7	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	7	5	6	1	26
7	Charlotte	18	7	4	7	2	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	7	4	7	-10	25
9	DC United	18	5	8	5	-3	23
10	Orlando City SC	18	6	2	10	-17	20
11	Columbus Crew	18	5	5	8	-2	20
12	Toronto FC	18	3	8	7	-8	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	4	4	10	-8	16
14	CF Montreal	18	4	4	10	-11	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	3	3	12	-14	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.