Planet Pure Stadion · Referee Jakob Semler, Austria · Analysis updated 02:52 UTC
Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.07 expected goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.53 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Wolfsberger AC to Win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–07.9%
Why the model likes this
Austria Lustenau home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsberger AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 27% / 26% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.07 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.53 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 3.70 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.45 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.35 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.83 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 3.45 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 9.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 6.50 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.10 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.77 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.91 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.25 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Austria Lustenau
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsberger AC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Grazer AK · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ried · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nürnberg II · 0-1 (L)
Wolfsberger AC
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Bull Salzburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lauterach · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Velden · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 2-1 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2024-04-23T16:30:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 1-2 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2024-04-20T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 1-1 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2023-11-11T16:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 2-3 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2023-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 1-1 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2023-06-05T17:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 2-1 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2023-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 2-2 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2023-04-15T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 1-3 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2023-03-12T16:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 1-0 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
- 2022-10-01T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Lustenau 1-3 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | SCR Altach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Austria Vienna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.