Florencio Sola · Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina · Analysis updated 20:40 UTC
Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Banfield and 1.07 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Banfield the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.
Model pick
Banfield or Draw
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–111.9%
- 0–011.1%
- 2–17.5%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Banfield to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 29% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Banfield and 1.07 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Banfield or Draw is the headline pick at 66% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Banfield
Belgrano Cordoba
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.