Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 2515:30
Be1 NFAWLLLW

15:30 UTC

Friday, 18 September 2026

· Analysis updated 04:12 UTC

Be1 NFA vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Be1 NFA and 0.92 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives Be1 NFA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws roughly 25% of the time.

Model pick

Be1 NFA to Win

74.7% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.68 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Be1 NFA win75%
Draw15%
Transinvest 2 win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

25%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 2–09.9%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–08.8%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 1–07.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Be1 NFA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 15% / 10% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.68 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.92 for Transinvest 2, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 56%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Be1 NFA

    Transinvest 2

    • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.