Spartak Stadium · Analysis updated 02:40 UTC
Belshina vs Neman Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Belshina and 1.41 for Neman, a combined total of 2.31. That distribution gives Neman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Neman to Win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.0%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.9%
- 0–29.9%
- 1–08.9%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Neman to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 24% / 27% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Belshina and 1.41 for Neman, a combined 2.31 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Neman to Win is the headline pick at 49% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Belshina
Neman
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Neman | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -9 | 21 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | Belshina | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | Bate Borisov | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftan | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.