Belshina vs Neman Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Belshina and 1.15 for Neman, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Neman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

72.2% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Belshina home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Neman away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Belshina win28%

Draw30%

Neman win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%

Over 2.5 goals33%

Over 3.5 goals15%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

0–115.2%
1–113.3%
0–013.2%
1–011.5%
0–28.7%

Recent form

Belshina

2026-09-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Minsk · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Vitebsk · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Neman · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ML Vitebsk · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Gomel · 0-1 (L)

Neman

2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Isloch Minsk R. · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Zhodino · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Belshina · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Mozyr · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-22T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Naftan · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · Belshina 1-2 Neman (Premier League)
2023-10-07T15:00:00.000Z · Belshina 1-3 Neman (Premier League)
2023-05-20T12:00:00.000Z · Belshina 0-2 Neman (Premier League)
2022-10-15T10:00:00.000Z · Belshina 1-0 Neman (Premier League)
2022-05-29T15:00:00.000Z · Belshina 2-2 Neman (Premier League)
2020-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · Belshina 0-1 Neman (Premier League)
2020-04-10T16:00:00.000Z · Belshina 1-1 Neman (Premier League)
2016-09-10T16:00:00.000Z · Belshina 0-1 Neman (Premier League)
2016-05-07T13:00:00.000Z · Belshina 1-1 Neman (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	22	13	8	1	29	47
2	FC Isloch Minsk R.	23	13	7	3	19	46
3	Dinamo Minsk	22	14	4	4	22	46
4	Dinamo Brest	24	13	4	7	16	43
5	Neman	23	12	4	7	9	40
6	FC Gomel	24	11	6	7	11	39
7	FC Vitebsk	24	10	7	7	7	37
8	FC Minsk	24	10	4	10	1	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	23	8	6	9	0	30
10	Slavia Mozyr	23	6	7	10	-4	25
11	Baranovichi	24	6	7	11	-17	25
12	Arsenal	24	5	8	11	-18	23
13	Bate Borisov	23	4	9	10	-10	21
14	Belshina	23	5	6	12	-17	21
15	Naftan	24	4	5	15	-31	17
16	FC Dnepr Mogilev	24	2	10	12	-17	16

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 72.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.