BFA vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.44 expected goals for BFA and 1.02 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives BFA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.

Model pick

BFA to Win

68.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.44 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

BFA win69%

Draw18%

Transinvest 2 win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–19.5%
2–09.4%
1–17.8%
3–17.8%
1–07.7%

Why the model likes this

BFA home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Transinvest 2 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates BFA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 18% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.44 goals for BFA and 1.02 for Transinvest 2, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

BFA

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Transinvest 2 · 4-2 (W)
2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FA Šiauliai II · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Be1 NFA · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ekranas · 4-1 (W)

Transinvest 2

2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · BFA 4-2 Transinvest 2 (1 Lyga)
2026-03-21T12:00:00.000Z · BFA 0-1 Transinvest 2 (1 Lyga)

1 Lyga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Minija	20	17	1	2	42	52
2	Babrungas	20	16	3	1	30	51
3	Tauras	20	12	2	6	14	38
4	Neptūną Klaipėda	20	12	2	6	3	38
5	Dainava	19	10	5	4	14	35
6	Be1 NFA	19	11	2	6	7	35
7	BFA	20	10	2	8	0	32
8	Žalgiris II	20	9	4	7	3	31
9	Atmosfera	19	7	4	8	5	25
10	Jonava	20	6	5	9	-2	23
11	Garliava	19	6	4	9	3	22
12	Transinvest 2	20	5	3	12	-26	18
13	Hegelmann II	20	5	1	14	-24	16
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	20	4	1	15	-19	13
15	Ekranas	20	3	2	15	-23	11
16	FA Šiauliai II	20	2	5	13	-27	11

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.