Blackburn vs Stoke City Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Blackburn and 1.50 for Stoke City, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Blackburn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Blackburn to Win

49.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Blackburn win49%

Draw22%

Stoke City win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–19.1%
2–19.1%
1–26.8%
2–26.8%
3–16.0%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Blackburn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Blackburn and 1.50 for Stoke City, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Blackburn to Win is the headline pick at 49% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Blackburn

Stoke City

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Swansea · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Oldham · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-01T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Valencia · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Everton · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crewe · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.