Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.82 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.63 for Fredrikstad, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws roughly 18% of the time.

Model pick

Bodo/Glimt to Win

82.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.82 – 0.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bodo/Glimt win82%

Draw12%

Fredrikstad win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

18%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams to score44%

Correct score

2–012.6%
3–011.8%
1–08.9%
4–08.3%
2–18.0%

Why the model likes this

Bodo/Glimt home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 12% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.82 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.63 for Fredrikstad, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 44%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Bodo/Glimt

2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Valerenga · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord · 3-0 (W)

Fredrikstad

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Eliteserien table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	13	2	2	31	41
2	Viking	17	13	1	3	23	40
3	Tromso	16	10	4	2	15	34
4	Lillestrom	17	8	2	7	2	26
5	Molde	16	7	3	6	5	24
6	Rosenborg	17	7	3	7	3	24
7	Brann	16	7	1	8	6	22
8	Sarpsborg 08 FF	16	6	4	6	-2	22
9	Ham-Kam	16	6	4	6	-3	22
10	Valerenga	16	6	2	8	-6	20
11	Fredrikstad	16	6	2	8	-10	20
12	KFUM Oslo	17	5	4	8	-8	19
13	Sandefjord	16	4	3	9	-9	15
14	Kristiansund BK	16	4	3	9	-11	15
15	Aalesund	16	2	8	6	-14	14
16	Start	17	2	4	11	-22	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.