Coastal Union vs Mashujaa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.84 expected goals for Coastal Union and 0.97 for Mashujaa, a combined total of 1.81. That distribution gives Mashujaa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.

Model pick

Mashujaa or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.84 – 0.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Coastal Union win30%

Draw33%

Mashujaa win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals54%

Over 2.5 goals27%

Over 3.5 goals11%

Both teams to score35%

Correct score

0–016.3%
0–115.8%
1–013.7%
1–113.3%
0–27.7%

Why the model likes this

Mashujaa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mashujaa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 30% / 33% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.84 goals for Coastal Union and 0.97 for Mashujaa, a combined 1.81 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 35%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Coastal Union

Mashujaa

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Coastal Union · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tanzania Prisons · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs KMC · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fountain Gate · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.