· Analysis updated 02:23 UTC
Coffrane vs Naters Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for Coffrane and 2.15 for Naters, a combined total of 4.42. That distribution gives Coffrane the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Coffrane or Draw
61.8% probability
Expected goals
2.26 – 2.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–26.3%
- 1–15.9%
- 3–25.4%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Coffrane to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 20% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.26 goals for Coffrane and 2.15 for Naters, a combined 4.42 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 79%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Model confidence
Coffrane or Draw is the headline pick at 62% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Coffrane
Naters
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sion II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Naters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Echallens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Prishtina Bern | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Meyrin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Portalban / Gletterens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lancy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Monthey | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Servette II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stade Payerne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coffrane | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Lausanne Sport II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Chênois | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Azzurri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.