Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 1715:00
DainavaDWDWW

31

Tuesday, 28 July 2026

· Analysis updated 07:08 UTC

Dainava vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.75 expected goals for Dainava and 0.74 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Dainava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws roughly 21% of the time.

Model pick

Dainava to Win

79.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.75 – 0.74

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dainava win79%
Draw13%
Transinvest 2 win7%

Double chance 1X

93%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 2–011.6%
  • 3–010.6%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 3–17.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dainava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 7% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.75 goals for Dainava and 0.74 for Transinvest 2, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 49%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Dainava

    Transinvest 2

    • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.