· Analysis updated 01:32 UTC
Denbigh Town vs Rhyl Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.87 expected goals for Denbigh Town and 1.66 for Rhyl, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Denbigh Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Denbigh Town or Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.66
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.5%
Why the model likes this
Rhyl away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Denbigh Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.87 goals for Denbigh Town and 1.66 for Rhyl, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Denbigh Town
Rhyl
- 2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Caersws · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Porthmadog · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Guilsfield · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Llandudno · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Colwyn Bay · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.