Djerv vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.23 expected goals for Djerv and 0.80 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Djerv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws roughly 16% of the time.

Model pick

Djerv to Win

83.6% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.23 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Djerv win84%

Draw10%

Fyllingsdalen win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

16%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

3–010.0%
2–09.3%
4–08.0%
3–18.0%
2–17.4%

Why the model likes this

Fyllingsdalen away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Djerv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.23 goals for Djerv and 0.80 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 53%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Djerv

Fyllingsdalen

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Djerv · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Askøy · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 2-4 (L)
2026-06-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Austevoll · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 3 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Os	15	12	0	3	32	36
2	Askøy	16	10	5	1	14	35
3	Djerv	16	8	5	3	16	29
4	Førde	16	8	2	6	3	26
5	Fana	16	8	1	7	8	25
6	Vard	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Brann II	15	7	4	4	4	25
8	Austevoll	16	6	5	5	-5	23
9	Sogndal II	15	6	3	6	8	21
10	Stord	15	3	6	6	-15	15
11	Åsane II	15	3	4	8	-10	13
12	Gneist	16	4	1	11	-19	13
13	Varegg	15	3	3	9	-10	12
14	Fyllingsdalen	16	1	3	12	-30	6

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.