· Analysis updated 04:38 UTC
Drenica Skënderaj vs Ferizaj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Drenica Skënderaj and 1.18 for Ferizaj, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Drenica Skënderaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Drenica Skënderaj to Win
47.6% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–17.2%
Why the model likes this
Ferizaj away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Drenica Skënderaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Drenica Skënderaj and 1.18 for Ferizaj, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Drenica Skënderaj
Ferizaj
- 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drita | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 66 |
| 2 | Malisheva | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 59 |
| 3 | Ballkani | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | Dukagjini | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Gjilani | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 | Drenica Skënderaj | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | Prishtina | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | Llapi | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | -4 | 49 |
| 9 | Ferizaj | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Prishtina e Re | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | -21 | 31 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.