MOL Arena · Referee F. Badstubner · Analysis updated 21:54 UTC
Dunajska Streda vs Twente Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.18 for Twente, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Dunajska Streda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Dunajska Streda or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Twente away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dunajska Streda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.18 for Twente, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Dunajska Streda
Twente
- 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunajska Streda · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-09T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Heerenveen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Genk · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ferencvarosi TC · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 3-3 Twente (UEFA Europa Conference League)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 0-6 Twente (UEFA Europa Conference League)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.