RCDE Stadium · Analysis updated 21:54 UTC
Espanyol vs Levante Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Espanyol and 1.03 for Levante, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Espanyol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Espanyol to Win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–08.7%
Why the model likes this
Espanyol home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Levante away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Espanyol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 27% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for Espanyol and 1.03 for Levante, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.20 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 3.55 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.38 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.70 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 3.85 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 8.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 8.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.07 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.85 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.90 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.28 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.70 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Espanyol
- 2026-08-08T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Coventry · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Middlesbrough · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Burnley · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sabadell · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs PAU · 4-0 (W)
Levante
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Castellón · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Villarreal · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Albacete · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Qadisiyah FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sheffield Utd · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.