Everton vs Hull City Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Everton and 1.07 for Hull City, a combined total of 2.27. That distribution gives Everton the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Everton or Draw

67.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Everton win39%

Draw29%

Hull City win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals40%

Over 3.5 goals20%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–113.3%
1–012.4%
0–111.0%
0–010.3%
2–18.0%

Why the model likes this

Hull City away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Everton to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 29% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Everton and 1.07 for Hull City, a combined 2.27 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Everton

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lille · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-12T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Stuttgart · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-28T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Stoke City · 0-1 (L)

Hull City

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nice · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Konyaspor · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.