Famalicão U19 vs Benfica U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Famalicão U19 and 2.23 for Benfica U19, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Benfica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Benfica U19 to Win

56.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 2.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Famalicão U19 win24%

Draw20%

Benfica U19 win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.2%
1–18.3%
1–36.8%
0–26.6%
2–26.5%

Why the model likes this

Famalicão U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Benfica U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Benfica U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 24% / 20% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Famalicão U19 and 2.23 for Benfica U19, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Famalicão U19

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gil Vicente U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Benfica U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Porto U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-04-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Santa Clara U19 · 0-2 (L)

Benfica U19

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · Famalicão U19 2-1 Benfica U19 (Júniores U19)
2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · Famalicão U19 0-4 Benfica U19 (Júniores U19)
2024-04-13T14:00:00.000Z · Famalicão U19 3-2 Benfica U19 (Júniores U19)
2024-02-09T15:00:00.000Z · Famalicão U19 0-2 Benfica U19 (Júniores U19)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.