World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round17:30
FC VaduzLLL

22

Thursday, 13 August 2026

Rheinpark Stadion · Referee F. Glova · Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

FC Vaduz vs Inter Turku Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for FC Vaduz and 1.00 for Inter Turku, a combined total of 3.02. That distribution gives FC Vaduz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

FC Vaduz to Win

61.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Vaduz win61%
Draw21%
Inter Turku win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 3–06.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Inter Turku away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Vaduz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.02 goals for FC Vaduz and 1.00 for Inter Turku, a combined 3.02 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 55%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

FC Vaduz

    Inter Turku

    • 2026-08-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Vaduz · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lahti · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VPS · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Başakşehir · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.