Kosovo · Superliga · Regular Season - 3314:00

11

Sunday, 10 May 2026

· Analysis updated 04:24 UTC

Ferizaj vs Malisheva Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Ferizaj and 1.63 for Malisheva, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Malisheva the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Malisheva or Draw

69.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ferizaj win31%
Draw24%
Malisheva win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–27.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Ferizaj home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Malisheva to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 31% / 24% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.32 goals for Ferizaj and 1.63 for Malisheva, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Ferizaj

  • 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)

Malisheva

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Superliga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Drita36206101566
    2Malisheva3618513859
    3Ballkani36177122058
    4Dukagjini36131211651
    5Gjilani3614913-151
    6Drenica Skënderaj3615516-950
    7Prishtina36131013149
    8Llapi36131013-449
    9Ferizaj369918-1536
    10Prishtina e Re368721-2131

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.