Fjolnir vs Fjardabyggd / Leiknir Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.76 expected goals for Fjolnir and 2.24 for Fjardabyggd / Leiknir, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Fjolnir the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Fjolnir to Win

50.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.76 – 2.24

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Fjolnir win50%

Draw18%

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals87%

Over 3.5 goals73%

Both teams to score83%

Correct score

2–26.4%
3–25.9%
2–15.8%
3–15.3%
2–34.8%

Why the model likes this

Fjolnir home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fjolnir to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 18% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.76 goals for Fjolnir and 2.24 for Fjardabyggd / Leiknir, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 83%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Recent form

Fjolnir

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Selfoss · 2-6 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KFG · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-29T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Olafsiik · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-24T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Haukar · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Magni · 2-5 (L)

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Deild table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	21	38
2	Selfoss	17	9	5	3	9	32
3	Kári	17	7	8	2	18	29
4	Fjolnir	17	7	4	6	4	25
5	Vikingur Olafsiik	17	7	4	6	-5	25
6	Kormákur / Hvöt	17	6	6	5	10	24
7	Dalvík / Reynir	17	6	3	8	-3	21
8	Magni	17	6	3	8	-12	21
9	Fjardabyggd / Leiknir	17	6	2	9	3	20
10	Thróttur Vogar	17	6	1	10	-5	19
11	Hvíti riddarinn	17	3	7	7	-11	16
12	KFG	17	4	1	12	-29	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.