World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round17:00

25

Thursday, 6 August 2026

LFF stadionas · Referee M. Nagtegaal · Analysis updated 07:06 UTC

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction, Odds & Statistics

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

Model pick

FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win44%
Draw26%
HNK Hajduk Split win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.18 for HNK Hajduk Split, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for FK Zalgiris Vilnius or HNK Hajduk Split yet, so these numbers are a UEFA Europa Conference League scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Recent form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

  • 2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs HNK Hajduk Split · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HNK Hajduk Split · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-27T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Hegelmann Litauen · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 0-3 (L)

HNK Hajduk Split

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.