· Analysis updated 03:20 UTC
Fremad Amager vs Naestved Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Fremad Amager and 1.40 for Naestved, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Fremad Amager the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
Fremad Amager or Draw
63.5% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–18.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fremad Amager to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.40 for Naestved, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Fremad Amager or Draw is the headline pick at 64% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Fremad Amager
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 0-1 (L)
Naestved
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | HIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | B 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.