Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F · Division F - 713:30
FrýdlantLL

13:30 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 00:49 UTC

Frýdlant vs Jiskra Rýmařov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Frýdlant and 1.50 for Jiskra Rýmařov, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Frýdlant the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Frýdlant to Win

48.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Frýdlant win48%
Draw22%
Jiskra Rýmařov win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Frýdlant to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Frýdlant and 1.50 for Jiskra Rýmařov, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

  • Model confidence

    Frýdlant to Win is the headline pick at 48% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Frýdlant

    Jiskra Rýmařov

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      4. liga - Divizie F table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Havířov2919283859
      2Vratimov2917391554
      3Bospor Bohumín2915862853
      4Bílovec2915861453
      5Stonava2914691048
      6Valašské Meziříčí2911810-441
      7Zabreh309129339
      8Šumperk299128-239
      9Opava II3011514-338
      10Frýdlant3091110-938
      11Jiskra Rýmařov3011415-1337
      12Petřvald na Moravě299911336
      13Nový Jičín298129-536
      14Břidličná3071013-1231
      15Pustá Polom295915-2324
      16Cesky Tesin292720-4113

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.