Getafe vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Getafe and 1.22 for Real Sociedad, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Getafe the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Getafe or Draw

67.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Getafe win41%

Draw26%

Real Sociedad win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.5%
1–010.2%
0–19.0%
2–18.7%
1–27.6%

Why the model likes this

Getafe home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Real Sociedad away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Getafe to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Getafe and 1.22 for Real Sociedad, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Getafe

2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Alaves · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tottenham · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Monaco · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Madrid · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Valladolid · 0-0 (D)

Real Sociedad

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Köln · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Toulouse · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Aston Villa · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolves · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

La Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Alaves	1	1	0	3	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	1	3
3	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0
4	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0
5	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0
6	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0
7	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0
8	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0
9	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0
10	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0
11	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0
12	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0
13	Elche	0	0	0	0	0
14	Levante	0	0	0	0	0
15	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0
16	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0
17	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0
18	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0
19	Rayo Vallecano	1	0	1	-1	0
20	Getafe	1	0	1	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.