· Analysis updated 02:53 UTC
Gigant Saedinenie vs Maritsa Milevo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Gigant Saedinenie and 1.57 for Maritsa Milevo, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Maritsa Milevo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Maritsa Milevo or Draw
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.3%
Why the model likes this
Maritsa Milevo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maritsa Milevo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 33% / 25% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Gigant Saedinenie and 1.57 for Maritsa Milevo, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Gigant Saedinenie
Maritsa Milevo
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletik Kuklen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dimitrovgrad · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Beroe · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Neftochimic Burgas · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodopa Smolyan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Sayana Haskovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletik Kuklen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Levski Krumovgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Maritsa Milevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rozova dolina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Yambol 1915 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sozopol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gigant Saedinenie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Neftochimic Burgas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.