Finland · Ykkösliiga · Group Stage15:00
HakaWWWWD

30

Friday, 7 August 2026

JIPPOLLWDW

· Referee M. Haapakoski · Analysis updated 01:54 UTC

Haka vs JIPPO Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Haka and 1.02 for JIPPO, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Haka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Haka to Win

49.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Haka win49%
Draw26%
JIPPO win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–17.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Haka home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • JIPPO away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Haka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 26% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Haka and 1.02 for JIPPO, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Haka

  • 2026-08-14T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · H vs JIPPO · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Klubi-04 · 2-2 (D)

JIPPO

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ykkösliiga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kooteepee1913331342
2PK-351911531738
3Haka1911441837
4JIPPO19874831
5JäPS19919-828
6EIF18729-623
7MP18639-521
8KäPa194411-1216
9Klubi-04192710-913
10SJK Akatemia192611-1612

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.