Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 1811:00
HaningeLDWWW

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

NyköpingLWLWD

Torvalla idrottsplats · Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Haninge vs Nyköping Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Haninge and 1.63 for Nyköping, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives Haninge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Haninge or Draw

61.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Haninge win39%
Draw23%
Nyköping win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Haninge home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Haninge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.63 goals for Haninge and 1.63 for Nyköping, a combined 3.26 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Haninge

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arlanda · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleipner · 6-1 (W)

Nyköping

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Forward1610331233
    2Nyköping1710251232
    3Haninge171025932
    4Sleipner17944231
    5Farsta179351630
    6Smedby179351130
    7Rågsved16754826
    8Fittja16727-123
    9Örebro Syrianska16529-217
    10Lindo FF175210-417
    11Karlslund17458-717
    12Syrianska FC16439-1315
    13Eker Örebro174211-2714
    14Nacka Iliria163211-1611

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.