Harborough Town vs Marine Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Harborough Town and 0.68 for Marine, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Harborough Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Harborough Town to Win

49.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Harborough Town win50%

Draw30%

Marine win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score35%

Correct score

1–018.2%
0–014.6%
1–112.4%
2–011.3%
0–19.9%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Harborough Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 30% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.24 goals for Harborough Town and 0.68 for Marine, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 35%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Model confidence
Harborough Town to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Harborough Town

Marine

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League - North table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chester	2	2	0	0	3	6
2	Worksop Town	2	2	0	0	2	6
3	Macclesfield	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	South Shields	2	2	0	0	2	6
5	Oxford City	2	2	0	0	2	6
6	Hebburn Town	2	1	1	0	2	4
7	Brackley Town	2	1	1	0	1	4
8	Buxton	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Spennymoor Town	2	1	1	0	1	4
10	Harborough Town	2	1	1	0	1	4
11	Merthyr Town	2	1	0	1	1	3
12	Spalding United	2	1	0	1	1	3
13	Darlington 1883	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Scarborough Athletic	2	1	0	1	0	3
15	Hereford	2	1	0	1	0	3
16	Morecambe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Southport	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	King's Lynn Town	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	AFC Telford United	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Bedford Town	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Chorley	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Marine	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Hednesford Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Radcliffe	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.