· Analysis updated 03:00 UTC
Hódmezővásárhely vs Sándorfalva Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Hódmezővásárhely and 1.35 for Sándorfalva, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives Hódmezővásárhely the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.
Model pick
Hódmezővásárhely to Win
56.8% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–07.0%
- 3–16.9%
- 1–06.4%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hódmezővásárhely to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Hódmezővásárhely and 1.35 for Sándorfalva, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Hódmezővásárhely to Win is the headline pick at 57% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Hódmezővásárhely
Sándorfalva
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Szeged-Csanád II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Dabas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Újpest II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ESMTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Monori Se | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sándorfalva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 3 |
| 11 | Vasas II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Hódmezővásárhely | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Honvéd II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Szegedi VSE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.