MKM Stadium · Analysis updated 07:07 UTC
Hull City vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Hull City and 1.03 for Tottenham, a combined total of 2.19. That distribution gives Hull City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.
Model pick
Hull City or Draw
67.9% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 1–013.0%
- 0–111.6%
- 0–011.3%
- 2–17.7%
Why the model likes this
Hull City home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tottenham away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hull City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 29% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Hull City and 1.03 for Tottenham, a combined 2.19 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
Hull City
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Konyaspor · 3-0 (W)
Tottenham
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Getafe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-01T09:45:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-29T09:45:00.000Z · H vs Sydney · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T03:00:00.000Z · A vs Auckland · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.