· Analysis updated 05:23 UTC
Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Humpolec and 1.50 for Velká Bíteš, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Humpolec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Humpolec to Win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.0%
Why the model likes this
Humpolec home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Velká Bíteš away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Recent form
Humpolec
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-07T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Meziříčí · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bedrichov · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-06-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 1-5 (L)
Velká Bíteš
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 0-2 Velká Bíteš (Cup)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 3-2 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 3-1 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2025-05-03T14:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 2-4 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2024-09-28T13:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-2 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2024-06-02T13:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-2 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2023-10-29T13:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-1 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2023-05-20T13:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 5-0 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2022-10-08T13:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 0-1 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
- 2022-03-27T08:15:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-0 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.