Czech-Republic · Cup · Round of 12815:00

02

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

· Analysis updated 05:23 UTC

Humpolec vs Velká Bíteš Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Humpolec and 1.50 for Velká Bíteš, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Humpolec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Humpolec to Win

49.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Humpolec win49%
Draw22%
Velká Bíteš win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–26.8%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 3–16.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Humpolec home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Velká Bíteš away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Humpolec

  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Meziříčí · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bedrichov · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 1-5 (L)

Velká Bíteš

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 0-2 Velká Bíteš (Cup)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 3-2 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 3-1 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2025-05-03T14:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 2-4 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2024-09-28T13:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-2 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2024-06-02T13:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-2 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2023-10-29T13:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-1 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2023-05-20T13:30:00.000Z · Humpolec 5-0 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2022-10-08T13:00:00.000Z · Humpolec 0-1 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)
  • 2022-03-27T08:15:00.000Z · Humpolec 1-0 Velká Bíteš (4. liga - Divizie D)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.