Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Norra Götaland - 2112:00
IFK SkövdeDDDLW

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

TordDLWDL

· Analysis updated 22:45 UTC

IFK Skövde vs Tord Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.27 expected goals for IFK Skövde and 1.00 for Tord, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives IFK Skövde the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws roughly 34% of the time.

Model pick

IFK Skövde to Win

65.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

IFK Skövde win66%
Draw19%
Tord win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

34%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 3–17.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Tord away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates IFK Skövde to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 19% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.27 goals for IFK Skövde and 1.00 for Tord, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

IFK Skövde

    Tord

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motala · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrestads · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kumla · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahlafors · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-06-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Kumla · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Norra Götaland table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Husqvarna1714302845
    2Skara1711421537
    3IFK Skövde179441131
    4Ahlafors178631630
    5Grebbestad17926629
    6Stenungsund17746925
    7Herrestads17665-124
    8Motala17557020
    9Kumla17557-720
    10Vänersborgs FK16448-1116
    11Tord17197-1012
    12Lidköping163310-1812
    13IF Karlstad II162410-1310
    14Vänersborgs IF162311-259

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.