· Analysis updated 05:52 UTC
Ilkeston Town vs Cleethorpes Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.93 for Cleethorpes Town, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Cleethorpes Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws roughly 34% of the time.
Model pick
Cleethorpes Town to Win
66.4% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.9%
- 0–213.4%
- 1–19.8%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–38.6%
Why the model likes this
Ilkeston Town home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cleethorpes Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 13% / 21% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.93 for Cleethorpes Town, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Ilkeston Town
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Whitby Town · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs AFC Emley · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stockton Town · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Basford United · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Worksop Town · 1-3 (L)
Cleethorpes Town
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-24T15:00:00.000Z · Ilkeston Town 0-0 Cleethorpes Town (Non League Premier - Northern)
- 2025-09-16T18:45:00.000Z · Ilkeston Town 0-3 Cleethorpes Town (Non League Premier - Northern)
- 2020-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Ilkeston Town 3-2 Cleethorpes Town (Non League Div One - Northern Midlands)
- 2019-12-22T15:00:00.000Z · Ilkeston Town 1-2 Cleethorpes Town (Non League Div One - Northern Midlands)
- 2019-08-17T14:00:00.000Z · Ilkeston Town 0-0 Cleethorpes Town (Non League Div One - Northern Midlands)
Non League Premier - Northern table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | Warrington Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bury | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Avro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Ashton United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Whitby Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Ilkeston Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Guiseley AFC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rylands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Lancaster City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Workington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Quorn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.