Ilves II vs EPS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Ilves II and 1.74 for EPS, a combined total of 4.34. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Ilves II to Win

56.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.74

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ilves II win56%

Draw18%

EPS win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals81%

Over 3.5 goals63%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

2–17.7%
2–26.7%
3–16.6%
1–15.9%
3–25.8%

Why the model likes this

Ilves II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 18% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Ilves II and 1.74 for EPS, a combined 4.34 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 76%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Ilves II

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)

EPS

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kakkonen - Lohko B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honka	17	12	4	1	37	40
2	ÅIFK	17	11	3	3	19	36
3	HJS Akatemia	17	9	4	4	8	31
4	Ilves II	17	8	6	3	22	30
5	EPS	17	9	2	6	11	29
6	P-Iirot	17	8	3	6	6	27
7	GrIFK	17	6	3	8	-9	21
8	EBK	17	4	3	10	-14	15
9	Musa	17	2	3	12	-37	9
10	NJS	17	0	1	16	-43	1

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.