· Analysis updated 03:28 UTC
Inter vs AS Roma Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Inter and 1.10 for AS Roma, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Inter the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Inter to Win
52.9% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–16.3%
Why the model likes this
AS Roma away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Inter and 1.10 for AS Roma, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Inter
AS Roma
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brighton · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Newport County · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cardiff · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Cannes · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie A table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.