Lebanon · Premier League · Championship Round - 518:30
Jwaaya FCDLLWL

12

Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Al AnsarWWDDW

· Analysis updated 02:53 UTC

Jwaaya FC vs Al Ansar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.76 expected goals for Jwaaya FC and 1.33 for Al Ansar, a combined total of 2.09. That distribution gives Al Ansar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Al Ansar to Win

50.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.76 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Jwaaya FC win21%
Draw28%
Al Ansar win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 0–116.4%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–012.3%
  • 0–210.9%
  • 1–09.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Jwaaya FC home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Ansar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 21% / 28% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.76 goals for Jwaaya FC and 1.33 for Al Ansar, a combined 2.09 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Jwaaya FC

  • 2026-08-01T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahed · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ansar · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nejmeh · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahed · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ansar · 0-2 (L)

Al Ansar

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Premier League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Al Ansar2117224453
    2Al Nejmeh2114433246
    3Al Ahed2113171240
    4Jwaaya FC2111551738
    5Safa2111371336
    6Al Hikma21939230
    7Shabab Al Sahel21768127
    8Al Mabarrah21579-2422
    9Reyady Abaseya215511-1420
    10Tadamon Sour213810-1417
    11Bourj11317-1210
    12Racing210120-571

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.