Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.81 expected goals for Jwaaya FC and 1.08 for Al Nejmeh, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Al Nejmeh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Al Nejmeh or Draw

72.9% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.81 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Jwaaya FC win27%

Draw31%

Al Nejmeh win42%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score37%

Correct score

0–116.2%
0–015.0%
1–113.2%
1–012.2%
0–28.8%

Why the model likes this

Jwaaya FC home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Nejmeh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 27% / 31% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.81 goals for Jwaaya FC and 1.08 for Al Nejmeh, a combined 1.90 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 37%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Jwaaya FC

2026-08-01T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahed · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ansar · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nejmeh · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahed · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ansar · 0-2 (L)

Al Nejmeh

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ansar	21	17	2	2	44	53
2	Al Nejmeh	21	14	4	3	32	46
3	Al Ahed	21	13	1	7	12	40
4	Jwaaya FC	21	11	5	5	17	38
5	Safa	21	11	3	7	13	36
6	Al Hikma	21	9	3	9	2	30
7	Shabab Al Sahel	21	7	6	8	1	27
8	Al Mabarrah	21	5	7	9	-24	22
9	Reyady Abaseya	21	5	5	11	-14	20
10	Tadamon Sour	21	3	8	10	-14	17
11	Bourj	11	3	1	7	-12	10
12	Racing	21	0	1	20	-57	1

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.