Kırklareli Atatürk Stadyumu · Analysis updated 06:46 UTC
Kırklarelispor vs 1461 Trabzon FK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for Kırklarelispor and 1.41 for 1461 Trabzon FK, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Kırklarelispor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.
Model pick
Kırklarelispor or Draw
64.1% probability
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–17.8%
Why the model likes this
1461 Trabzon FK away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kırklarelispor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.49 goals for Kırklarelispor and 1.41 for 1461 Trabzon FK, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Kırklarelispor
1461 Trabzon FK
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kırklarelispor · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 83 |
| 2 | Muğlaspor | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 72 |
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Adana 01 FK | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 67 |
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 65 |
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 63 |
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 23 | 60 |
| 8 | İskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 56 |
| 9 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 54 |
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 52 |
| 11 | 24 Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 51 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Altınordu | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -26 | 35 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Beykoz Anadolu | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | -29 | 30 |
| 17 | Kepezspor | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | -45 | 23 |
| 18 | Karaman FK | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | -56 | 21 |
| 19 | Bucaspor 1928 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | -38 | 17 |
| 1 | Bursaspor | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 68 | 80 |
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 71 |
| 3 | Muş Sport Klübü | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 70 |
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 69 |
| 5 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 67 |
| 6 | Isparta 32 Spor | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 63 |
| 7 | Güzide Gebzespor | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 58 |
| 8 | Menemen FK | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 47 |
| 11 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 47 |
| 12 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 46 |
| 13 | Fethiyespor | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44 |
| 14 | Kırklarelispor | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Somaspor | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 33 | 4 | 3 | 26 | -75 | 12 |
| 17 | Adanaspor | 34 | 3 | 1 | 30 | -142 | 1 |
| 18 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 33 | 0 | 2 | 31 | -103 | -52 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.