Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.27 for Clarence Zebras, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Kingborough Lions the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Kingborough Lions to Win

49.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kingborough Lions win49%

Draw23%

Clarence Zebras win28%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–19.5%
1–08.4%
2–07.5%
1–26.8%

Why the model likes this

Kingborough Lions home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kingborough Lions to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 23% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.77 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.27 for Clarence Zebras, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Kingborough Lions

2026-08-15T04:30:00.000Z · A vs Devonport City · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T04:30:00.000Z · H vs Clarence Zebras · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-01T04:30:00.000Z · H vs Launceston United · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-26T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Melbourne Victory · 0-4 (L)
2026-07-18T06:45:00.000Z · A vs Launceston City · 3-1 (W)

Clarence Zebras

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.