Poland · II Liga - East · Regular Season - 510:00

10:00 UTC

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:54 UTC

Legia Warszawa II vs Sokół Kleczew Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.24 for Sokół Kleczew, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Legia Warszawa II to Win

55.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.24

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Legia Warszawa II win56%
Draw21%
Sokół Kleczew win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 3–16.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Legia Warszawa II home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 21% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.04 goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.24 for Sokół Kleczew, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Legia Warszawa II

  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Znicz Pruszków · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unia Skierniewice · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomiak Radom · 1-2 (L)

Sokół Kleczew

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.